Race 5B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Caelan Juckniess 21.3% 20.4% 19.3% 15.2% 11.6% 6.7% 3.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Tyler Paige 25.0% 21.0% 18.1% 13.0% 10.5% 7.1% 3.0% 2.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Nathaniel Barton 6.1% 6.5% 9.2% 10.5% 10.6% 14.1% 14.7% 13.3% 10.0% 3.9% 1.1%
River Iannaccone 4.3% 4.8% 7.0% 8.2% 10.2% 12.4% 14.4% 16.5% 12.0% 7.6% 2.6%
Thomas Capozzi 13.6% 13.3% 14.0% 14.3% 14.7% 11.1% 8.8% 5.3% 3.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Jeremy McCauley 16.0% 17.4% 15.2% 15.6% 14.2% 10.2% 5.1% 4.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Jessica Kurlander 2.0% 3.1% 2.0% 2.5% 3.9% 5.3% 8.8% 9.8% 15.5% 25.6% 21.5%
Mitchell Owen 3.1% 2.5% 3.4% 5.7% 7.0% 7.9% 12.8% 14.8% 15.4% 17.0% 10.4%
Rebecca Rutkiewicz 3.1% 3.3% 3.3% 4.4% 6.1% 7.2% 10.6% 14.7% 19.2% 17.7% 10.4%
Maura Neely 0.6% 1.2% 0.9% 1.8% 2.3% 3.1% 4.5% 5.3% 9.9% 19.2% 51.2%
Allison Fusaro 4.9% 6.5% 7.6% 8.8% 8.9% 14.9% 13.4% 13.2% 12.2% 7.4% 2.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.