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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.79+2.13vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.17+2.25vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+0.23vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook1.41-0.11vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.27+1.23vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University0.55-1.36vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.40-0.54vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-0.42vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut0.19-3.56vs Predicted
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11Sacred Heart University-0.40-3.44vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College-1.59-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Tufts University1.790.2%1st Place
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4.25Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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3.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.2%1st Place
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3.89SUNY Stony Brook1.410.2%1st Place
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6.23University of New Hampshire0.270.1%1st Place
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5.64Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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7.46Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.58SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
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6.44University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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7.56Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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9.6SUNY Maritime College-1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Paige | 23.1% | 20.9% | 19.2% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 13.8% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 21.6% | 21.3% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 16.1% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| River Iannaccone | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Mitchell Owen | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 19.4% | 14.4% | 9.6% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 22.7% | 23.8% |
| Allison Fusaro | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 19.3% | 8.8% |
| Maura Neely | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 21.3% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.