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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Tyler Paige 23.1% 20.9% 19.2% 13.3% 12.1% 5.7% 4.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Thomas Capozzi 13.8% 13.0% 15.3% 14.8% 12.6% 11.9% 8.1% 6.7% 3.0% 0.6% 0.2%
Caelan Juckniess 21.6% 21.3% 17.4% 14.7% 10.6% 8.3% 4.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 16.1% 15.9% 14.1% 17.2% 13.6% 9.6% 6.7% 4.4% 1.5% 0.9% 0.0%
River Iannaccone 5.1% 5.6% 7.7% 9.4% 10.4% 12.3% 12.1% 14.2% 12.9% 7.8% 2.5%
Nathaniel Barton 6.5% 9.0% 8.5% 9.2% 12.8% 13.6% 13.9% 11.6% 8.8% 4.9% 1.2%
Mitchell Owen 3.4% 3.7% 3.4% 4.6% 6.4% 9.4% 11.4% 14.3% 19.4% 14.4% 9.6%
Jessica Kurlander 2.0% 1.2% 2.3% 2.1% 3.9% 6.5% 9.2% 10.2% 16.1% 22.7% 23.8%
Allison Fusaro 4.6% 5.9% 6.0% 8.1% 9.7% 11.7% 13.9% 15.7% 12.4% 7.9% 4.1%
Rebecca Rutkiewicz 3.0% 3.0% 4.6% 4.8% 5.7% 7.9% 11.3% 15.3% 16.3% 19.3% 8.8%
Maura Neely 0.8% 0.5% 1.5% 1.8% 2.2% 3.1% 4.7% 5.5% 8.8% 21.3% 49.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.