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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.17+3.34vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.79+1.08vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook1.41+0.93vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut0.19+2.56vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University0.55+0.56vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-3.80vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.40-0.56vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-0.46vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University-0.40-2.31vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-1.59-1.39vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.27-5.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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3.08Tufts University1.790.2%1st Place
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3.93SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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6.56University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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5.56Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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3.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.2%1st Place
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7.44Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.54SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
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7.69Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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9.61SUNY Maritime College-1.590.0%1st Place
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6.05University of New Hampshire0.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Capozzi | 11.1% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Paige | 25.0% | 21.5% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 14.2% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Allison Fusaro | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 3.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 23.5% | 20.4% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Owen | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 7.9% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 23.2% | 23.2% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 18.2% | 10.5% |
| Maura Neely | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 18.1% | 51.8% |
| River Iannaccone | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.