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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Tyler Paige 23.2% 20.9% 17.1% 14.7% 11.5% 6.5% 4.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Barton 6.8% 7.6% 9.7% 10.3% 13.4% 12.8% 12.8% 13.0% 8.3% 4.1% 1.2%
Jeremy McCauley 14.9% 15.9% 15.4% 16.1% 13.4% 9.8% 8.7% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Thomas Capozzi 12.1% 12.2% 14.7% 14.1% 16.1% 12.2% 8.8% 6.1% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4%
River Iannaccone 5.4% 6.7% 7.3% 8.5% 9.3% 13.3% 12.1% 14.4% 12.5% 8.8% 1.7%
Caelan Juckniess 24.1% 20.8% 17.9% 13.2% 9.5% 6.9% 4.0% 2.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Allison Fusaro 5.8% 6.2% 6.9% 9.0% 9.1% 13.4% 13.1% 13.9% 12.4% 8.0% 2.2%
Jessica Kurlander 2.1% 1.0% 2.5% 3.4% 2.8% 6.2% 9.2% 11.0% 14.5% 24.2% 23.1%
Rebecca Rutkiewicz 3.0% 3.3% 3.3% 4.5% 4.7% 7.2% 12.3% 14.5% 18.2% 18.2% 10.8%
Maura Neely 0.5% 1.4% 1.0% 1.5% 2.3% 3.4% 3.1% 7.4% 9.6% 18.1% 51.7%
Mitchell Owen 2.1% 4.0% 4.2% 4.7% 7.9% 8.3% 11.3% 12.3% 19.3% 17.2% 8.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.