← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.79+2.16vs Predicted
-
2Wesleyan University0.55+3.59vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Stony Brook1.41+0.93vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University1.17+0.36vs Predicted
-
6University of New Hampshire0.27+0.20vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-3.81vs Predicted
-
8University of Connecticut0.19-1.80vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-0.45vs Predicted
-
10Sacred Heart University-0.40-2.29vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College-1.59-1.39vs Predicted
-
12Fairfield University-0.40-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.16Tufts University1.790.2%1st Place
-
5.59Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
-
3.93SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
-
4.36Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
-
6.2University of New Hampshire0.270.1%1st Place
-
3.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.2%1st Place
-
6.2University of Connecticut0.190.1%1st Place
-
8.55SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
-
7.71Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
-
9.61SUNY Maritime College-1.590.0%1st Place
-
7.5Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Paige | 23.2% | 20.9% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 14.9% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 12.1% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| River Iannaccone | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 1.7% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 24.1% | 20.8% | 17.9% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Allison Fusaro | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 2.2% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 24.2% | 23.1% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 10.8% |
| Maura Neely | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 18.1% | 51.7% |
| Mitchell Owen | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 19.3% | 17.2% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.