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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.79+2.13vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.17+2.23vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+0.24vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook1.41-0.12vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University0.55+0.61vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut0.19+0.43vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.27-1.93vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-0.43vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University-0.40-2.33vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-0.40-3.45vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College-1.59-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Tufts University1.790.2%1st Place
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4.23Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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3.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.2%1st Place
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3.88SUNY Stony Brook1.410.2%1st Place
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5.61Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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6.43University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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6.07University of New Hampshire0.270.1%1st Place
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8.57SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
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7.67Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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7.55Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
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9.62SUNY Maritime College-1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Paige | 22.8% | 22.3% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 12.8% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 21.6% | 20.7% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 16.2% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Allison Fusaro | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 2.9% |
| River Iannaccone | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 23.3% | 23.7% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 19.2% | 17.4% | 10.0% |
| Mitchell Owen | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 9.1% |
| Maura Neely | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 20.7% | 50.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.