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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.17+3.37vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+1.14vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook1.41+0.92vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut0.19+1.57vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.27+0.18vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University0.55-1.38vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.79-5.04vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.40-1.47vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-1.35vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-1.59-1.40vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-0.40-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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3.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.2%1st Place
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3.92SUNY Stony Brook1.410.2%1st Place
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6.57University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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6.18University of New Hampshire0.270.1%1st Place
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5.62Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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2.96Tufts University1.790.3%1st Place
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7.53Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.65SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
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9.6SUNY Maritime College-1.590.0%1st Place
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7.47Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Capozzi | 10.6% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 23.3% | 21.1% | 18.8% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 15.1% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Allison Fusaro | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 8.4% | 3.0% |
| River Iannaccone | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 1.6% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Tyler Paige | 27.7% | 21.6% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 9.9% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 16.6% | 26.3% | 23.4% |
| Maura Neely | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 16.8% | 52.0% |
| Mitchell Owen | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 15.8% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.