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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+7.37vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.78+5.22vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.33+6.13vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16+1.60vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.10+4.79vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.54+2.05vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.38+1.74vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.51+0.08vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.65-1.49vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97+0.70vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan2.08+2.93vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.92-1.00vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.81-2.03vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.68-2.63vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii2.13-1.32vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.23-6.60vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.45-8.39vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-9.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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7.22College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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9.13Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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5.6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.1%1st Place
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9.79Yale University3.100.0%1st Place
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8.05Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.74Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.08Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.51Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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10.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.0%1st Place
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13.93University of Michigan2.080.0%1st Place
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11.0Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.97Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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11.37U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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13.68University of Hawaii2.130.0%1st Place
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9.4Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.61Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McComb | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Shannon Heausler | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Genoa Warner | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Katrina Williams | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Margaret Tautz | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% |
| Amanda Baker | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 30.2% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 5.8% |
| Lauren Burke | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% |
| Sara Burke | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 25.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.