Race 13B

nicholas-j-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matt Johnson 11.9% 10.8% 10.8% 11.5% 12.0% 10.5% 10.1% 7.6% 6.9% 4.6% 2.6% 0.7%
Michael Marshall 15.8% 16.1% 13.2% 12.7% 11.5% 10.1% 7.6% 5.6% 4.4% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Rian Bareuther 8.6% 6.3% 9.1% 9.5% 7.8% 8.7% 10.8% 12.1% 11.5% 8.9% 4.8% 1.9%
Kelsey Wheeler 8.5% 11.1% 11.8% 10.2% 9.7% 11.5% 9.9% 9.4% 7.0% 6.5% 3.3% 1.1%
Matthew Schon 11.5% 11.3% 11.0% 12.7% 10.7% 10.3% 9.7% 7.7% 6.6% 4.8% 3.2% 0.5%
Peter Edmunds 7.8% 8.9% 7.7% 7.1% 10.0% 10.9% 9.7% 9.9% 11.2% 8.4% 6.8% 1.6%
Steven Pelissier 5.9% 5.3% 6.8% 7.7% 8.2% 8.2% 7.1% 11.2% 12.0% 13.6% 9.3% 4.7%
Ryan White 7.3% 6.8% 6.7% 7.9% 8.0% 8.7% 11.5% 10.0% 11.1% 11.7% 6.7% 3.6%
Ryan Mullins 14.8% 15.1% 14.5% 12.4% 11.6% 9.7% 7.9% 6.5% 4.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
David Pierce 4.9% 4.1% 5.1% 4.3% 6.4% 6.6% 8.3% 10.0% 11.0% 15.2% 15.3% 8.8%
Ted Netland 1.8% 1.8% 0.7% 1.8% 1.9% 2.8% 4.3% 4.7% 5.5% 10.0% 25.4% 39.3%
Andrew McHenry 1.2% 2.4% 2.6% 2.2% 2.2% 2.0% 3.1% 5.3% 8.0% 12.1% 21.2% 37.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.