Race 1A

saisa-south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Daniel Lawless 19.7% 18.7% 15.8% 13.8% 10.7% 9.5% 5.7% 4.1% 2.0% 0.0%
Michael Sanandajian 19.9% 17.4% 16.8% 13.2% 11.8% 9.9% 6.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Samuel Peirson 10.5% 10.6% 10.8% 12.4% 14.2% 13.5% 12.9% 10.0% 4.7% 0.4%
Peter Steo 13.8% 15.4% 15.2% 15.3% 12.7% 11.6% 7.8% 5.6% 2.4% 0.2%
Giancarlo Falconi 7.3% 7.1% 7.1% 8.3% 9.6% 11.7% 14.9% 19.0% 14.1% 0.9%
Aaron Burnett 7.2% 6.2% 9.0% 7.2% 10.9% 13.5% 13.2% 18.2% 13.3% 1.3%
Rafael Melendez 2.5% 2.8% 2.8% 4.5% 6.1% 6.6% 10.5% 16.7% 41.7% 5.8%
Stephan VerHulst 10.9% 13.7% 13.1% 12.6% 13.2% 11.3% 11.4% 8.6% 5.0% 0.2%
Anna Huebschmann 8.0% 7.9% 9.3% 12.2% 10.5% 11.6% 16.3% 12.9% 10.4% 0.9%
Benjamin Kaminsky 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 0.4% 2.0% 5.3% 90.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.