Race 2A

saisa-south-points

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Daniel Lawless 20.5% 17.8% 16.4% 12.6% 11.1% 10.0% 5.4% 4.2% 2.0% 0.0%
Michael Sanandajian 19.6% 17.3% 17.7% 13.5% 10.1% 11.2% 5.5% 3.6% 1.4% 0.1%
Rafael Melendez 2.9% 3.4% 3.1% 4.9% 5.7% 6.8% 9.0% 16.6% 41.5% 6.1%
Peter Steo 14.0% 15.7% 14.6% 14.2% 13.2% 11.7% 7.9% 5.8% 2.8% 0.1%
Stephan VerHulst 12.5% 10.4% 13.1% 11.9% 14.1% 12.8% 11.7% 8.5% 4.8% 0.2%
Samuel Peirson 11.9% 11.7% 9.6% 13.7% 13.4% 11.5% 12.1% 10.1% 5.6% 0.4%
Anna Huebschmann 6.3% 9.0% 9.8% 9.9% 11.6% 14.1% 15.4% 13.8% 9.0% 1.1%
Giancarlo Falconi 5.4% 7.9% 7.8% 9.6% 9.2% 10.6% 16.8% 18.2% 13.4% 1.1%
Aaron Burnett 6.6% 6.8% 7.7% 9.5% 11.2% 10.8% 15.2% 17.5% 13.6% 1.1%
Benjamin Kaminsky 0.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 1.0% 1.7% 5.9% 89.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.