Race 3A

saisa-south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Peirson 12.3% 11.7% 10.8% 11.8% 13.7% 11.4% 12.5% 11.1% 4.5% 0.2%
Anna Huebschmann 7.6% 7.6% 9.4% 11.6% 9.7% 12.5% 15.8% 14.1% 10.9% 0.8%
Peter Steo 14.1% 14.4% 13.9% 13.5% 15.0% 12.2% 8.1% 5.8% 2.9% 0.1%
Rafael Melendez 2.4% 2.8% 3.0% 5.3% 5.2% 8.0% 11.3% 16.3% 40.4% 5.3%
Daniel Lawless 18.4% 19.2% 15.8% 15.4% 9.9% 10.1% 5.5% 3.8% 1.9% 0.0%
Stephan VerHulst 13.7% 11.7% 10.2% 12.8% 14.1% 11.6% 11.8% 9.7% 4.1% 0.3%
Michael Sanandajian 18.5% 18.3% 19.5% 13.2% 9.6% 11.1% 5.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.1%
Giancarlo Falconi 5.9% 7.1% 9.0% 8.4% 10.4% 11.4% 14.9% 17.0% 14.9% 1.0%
Aaron Burnett 6.9% 7.1% 8.2% 7.6% 12.1% 11.4% 13.4% 17.3% 15.0% 1.0%
Benjamin Kaminsky 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 1.2% 2.2% 3.9% 91.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.