Race 14B

nicholas-j-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Steven Pelissier 4.7% 6.3% 6.0% 6.0% 7.0% 9.4% 8.4% 9.6% 12.0% 14.3% 11.1% 5.2%
Michael Marshall 15.9% 15.7% 15.8% 11.4% 10.7% 9.0% 8.7% 6.0% 3.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Matthew Schon 12.7% 9.6% 11.2% 10.8% 12.0% 11.4% 8.3% 10.8% 7.1% 3.9% 1.5% 0.7%
Kelsey Wheeler 9.0% 10.9% 11.0% 10.4% 11.8% 10.4% 9.6% 8.7% 7.6% 6.4% 3.6% 0.6%
David Pierce 4.0% 4.6% 4.3% 4.8% 7.3% 7.5% 8.7% 8.3% 11.4% 14.8% 15.0% 9.3%
Peter Edmunds 8.2% 7.8% 7.8% 9.5% 7.7% 9.0% 10.7% 11.1% 10.6% 9.1% 5.9% 2.6%
Ted Netland 2.0% 1.8% 2.3% 2.2% 2.4% 2.7% 4.9% 4.4% 7.5% 8.9% 22.0% 38.9%
Matt Johnson 14.0% 12.4% 10.7% 12.1% 10.0% 8.7% 9.6% 9.7% 5.4% 3.9% 2.5% 1.0%
Ryan White 5.9% 6.8% 6.9% 8.8% 9.1% 10.1% 8.6% 12.0% 11.0% 11.1% 7.3% 2.4%
Ryan Mullins 14.6% 15.2% 13.2% 12.9% 10.3% 9.6% 9.2% 6.4% 4.1% 2.9% 1.3% 0.3%
Rian Bareuther 7.3% 6.8% 8.9% 8.6% 9.9% 9.2% 10.3% 9.0% 10.8% 11.1% 6.3% 1.8%
Andrew McHenry 1.7% 2.1% 1.9% 2.5% 1.8% 3.0% 3.0% 4.0% 8.9% 11.0% 22.9% 37.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.