Race 4A

saisa-south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Stephan VerHulst 12.0% 13.2% 11.6% 12.6% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 8.9% 5.6% 0.2%
Anna Huebschmann 7.9% 7.0% 10.4% 10.5% 10.9% 12.7% 13.4% 15.0% 11.4% 0.8%
Aaron Burnett 6.3% 8.6% 7.0% 8.1% 8.3% 12.3% 16.2% 18.4% 13.2% 1.6%
Michael Sanandajian 19.4% 16.6% 18.7% 12.8% 12.9% 9.1% 5.7% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Daniel Lawless 19.0% 18.0% 16.7% 13.4% 13.4% 7.6% 7.3% 3.0% 1.6% 0.0%
Peter Steo 16.3% 14.9% 14.2% 14.0% 12.9% 11.3% 8.5% 6.0% 1.7% 0.2%
Giancarlo Falconi 5.0% 6.1% 7.3% 9.4% 10.7% 13.2% 15.3% 18.2% 13.5% 1.3%
Rafael Melendez 2.8% 3.0% 4.0% 4.5% 6.1% 8.5% 9.1% 15.1% 42.1% 4.8%
Samuel Peirson 11.1% 12.4% 9.9% 14.6% 12.4% 12.7% 11.7% 9.3% 5.5% 0.4%
Benjamin Kaminsky 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 1.1% 2.6% 4.3% 90.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.