Race 1B

saisa-south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Benjamin Chafee 23.2% 19.1% 19.4% 16.5% 11.4% 6.7% 2.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Curtis Woodworth 18.5% 22.2% 17.2% 17.2% 12.5% 6.8% 4.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Benjamin Ringrose 5.0% 7.2% 8.4% 9.7% 13.1% 19.4% 20.6% 15.3% 1.3%
Chad Murray 2.4% 3.0% 3.7% 5.6% 8.6% 11.3% 19.2% 41.8% 4.4%
Geoffrey St. John 14.7% 16.4% 15.1% 14.7% 14.2% 11.7% 9.7% 3.0% 0.5%
Maya Kwasniewski 4.4% 4.7% 6.1% 8.3% 12.1% 17.6% 21.4% 24.1% 1.3%
Scott Ewing 22.3% 19.4% 19.4% 16.2% 11.3% 7.2% 3.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Anna Palmer 9.3% 7.8% 10.5% 11.5% 16.2% 18.0% 17.0% 9.0% 0.7%
Nicholas Meury 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 1.3% 1.6% 4.0% 91.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.