Race 3B

saisa-south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Geoffrey St. John 14.2% 13.8% 13.5% 16.5% 17.6% 13.7% 7.3% 3.2% 0.2%
Benjamin Chafee 19.7% 20.5% 18.0% 17.4% 12.5% 7.1% 3.5% 1.3% 0.0%
Anna Palmer 7.3% 8.2% 10.5% 12.0% 16.8% 17.8% 17.9% 9.1% 0.4%
Curtis Woodworth 23.1% 22.0% 17.8% 15.9% 9.7% 8.2% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Benjamin Ringrose 5.5% 8.4% 9.3% 11.9% 12.5% 18.3% 18.9% 13.8% 1.4%
Scott Ewing 23.1% 19.7% 19.7% 15.1% 12.2% 7.1% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Maya Kwasniewski 4.4% 4.0% 6.5% 7.4% 11.3% 15.5% 26.7% 21.8% 2.4%
Chad Murray 2.6% 3.3% 4.1% 3.4% 6.6% 11.5% 18.9% 44.5% 5.1%
Nicholas Meury 0.1% 0.1% 0.6% 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 1.5% 5.2% 90.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.