Race 4B

saisa-south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Benjamin Chafee 22.6% 19.2% 19.2% 16.7% 10.7% 7.1% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Geoffrey St. John 10.7% 13.7% 14.7% 17.3% 17.2% 13.7% 8.9% 3.7% 0.1%
Scott Ewing 22.6% 19.9% 18.0% 15.9% 11.6% 7.5% 3.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Maya Kwasniewski 5.1% 4.2% 6.6% 7.9% 11.5% 17.4% 22.7% 23.1% 1.5%
Anna Palmer 7.8% 9.9% 13.2% 11.6% 14.6% 16.9% 15.9% 9.2% 0.9%
Curtis Woodworth 22.0% 23.4% 17.2% 15.5% 12.2% 6.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Benjamin Ringrose 6.2% 5.9% 7.6% 10.2% 13.8% 20.2% 20.8% 14.0% 1.3%
Chad Murray 2.9% 3.5% 3.1% 4.6% 7.8% 9.6% 19.8% 43.6% 5.1%
Nicholas Meury 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 2.0% 4.3% 91.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.