Race 15B

nicholas-j-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryan Mullins 14.9% 12.0% 12.0% 15.6% 11.1% 8.9% 9.2% 7.1% 4.7% 2.9% 1.3% 0.3%
Michael Marshall 16.2% 16.5% 14.3% 12.7% 9.3% 9.7% 8.6% 5.5% 4.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Matt Johnson 12.8% 10.8% 11.6% 11.4% 10.2% 12.1% 9.5% 9.0% 6.6% 3.7% 2.0% 0.3%
Peter Edmunds 6.5% 8.3% 8.7% 9.5% 10.2% 9.1% 8.9% 10.8% 9.9% 9.7% 6.4% 2.0%
Kelsey Wheeler 10.0% 10.3% 11.1% 10.8% 10.7% 8.5% 10.1% 9.2% 7.7% 5.5% 4.7% 1.4%
Ryan White 6.6% 7.2% 6.6% 6.1% 6.9% 11.0% 10.3% 10.6% 9.9% 12.9% 7.8% 4.1%
Rian Bareuther 9.1% 8.9% 8.3% 9.9% 9.9% 7.6% 10.0% 9.6% 10.7% 8.9% 5.0% 2.1%
Steven Pelissier 6.7% 6.3% 6.0% 7.0% 7.0% 8.8% 7.9% 9.7% 11.6% 14.4% 9.0% 5.6%
David Pierce 3.5% 4.3% 4.1% 4.7% 7.8% 8.2% 9.6% 8.1% 14.0% 13.8% 15.0% 6.9%
Andrew McHenry 1.5% 2.2% 2.9% 2.1% 2.3% 3.0% 4.2% 5.2% 7.0% 11.0% 23.6% 35.0%
Matthew Schon 11.0% 11.3% 11.7% 8.2% 12.7% 10.4% 9.7% 10.4% 7.0% 3.0% 3.7% 0.9%
Ted Netland 1.2% 1.9% 2.7% 2.0% 1.9% 2.7% 2.0% 4.8% 6.9% 11.7% 20.9% 41.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.