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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+6.21vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.58+8.37vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.61+7.27vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.73+5.36vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.91+3.70vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+0.80vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35-0.10vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.49+2.42vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.50+5.23vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-0.34vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.12+1.13vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.42-5.05vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.54-2.82vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.14-2.38vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.34-3.91vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.37-9.11vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.58-6.72vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-10.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.37University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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10.27Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.36University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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8.7Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.8Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.9Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.42Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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14.23Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.66Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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12.13University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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6.95Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.18Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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11.62Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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11.09Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.89University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.28George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte List | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 15.5% | 33.5% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Kate Klement | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 13.9% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.