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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+5.90vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+5.12vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.73+6.77vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.58+6.02vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+1.96vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37+0.85vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38-0.18vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.91+0.67vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.95vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.12+2.26vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49-0.30vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.50+2.49vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.61-3.06vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.54-4.05vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.75-5.65vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.58-5.84vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.34-5.76vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.14-6.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.12Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.77University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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10.02George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.96Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.85University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.82Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.05St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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12.26University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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10.7Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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14.49Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.94Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.95Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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9.35Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.16University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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11.24Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.77Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Kate Klement | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 11.6% |
| Charlotte List | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 38.7% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 6.4% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.