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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+5.88vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+5.09vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.49+7.81vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.58+5.98vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+1.84vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+3.43vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.34+4.07vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.12+3.95vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.92vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.61+0.24vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.38-4.11vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.58-1.54vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.50+1.05vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.54-3.97vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.73-5.54vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.14-3.93vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.91-8.15vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.33-11.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.09Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.81Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.98George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.84University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.43Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.07Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.95University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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8.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.24Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.89Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.46University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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14.05Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.03Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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9.46University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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12.07Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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8.85Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.82Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte List | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 4.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.9% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.3% |
| Kate Klement | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 11.6% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 34.1% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 13.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.