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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+6.09vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+7.63vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+4.01vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.61+5.87vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+2.03vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37+0.87vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91+1.67vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58+2.04vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.12+3.04vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.73-0.25vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.58-0.77vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.49-1.10vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-5.04vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.42-7.58vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.54-4.74vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.50-1.68vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.14-4.96vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.34-7.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.63Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.01Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.87Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.03Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.87University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.04University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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12.04University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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9.75University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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10.23George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.9Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.42Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.26Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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14.32Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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12.04Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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10.88Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% |
| Kate Klement | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 10.5% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% |
| Charlotte List | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 34.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 13.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.