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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+6.12vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.49+8.72vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+4.02vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.54+6.15vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+2.01vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+0.81vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42-0.37vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.61+1.93vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.73+0.44vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.58+0.40vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-1.48vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.34-0.47vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-4.43vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.58-4.22vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.12-3.05vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.50-1.66vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-8.66vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.14-6.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.72Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.15Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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7.01Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.81Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.63Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.93Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.44University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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10.4University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.52Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.53Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.57Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.78George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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11.95University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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14.34Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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11.73Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte List | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Kate Klement | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 11.6% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 35.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.