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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.58+9.30vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.35vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+4.05vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.50+10.06vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+2.00vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37+0.84vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42-0.38vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.91+0.65vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-2.19vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.58+0.40vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.12+1.12vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.73-2.10vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.34-2.03vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.54-3.99vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.61-5.01vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.75-6.54vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.14-4.86vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.49-7.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.3George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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8.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.05Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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14.06Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.0Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.84University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.62Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.81Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.4University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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12.12University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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9.9University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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10.97Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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10.01Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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9.99Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.46Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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12.14Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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10.32Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Bakos | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 4.7% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 34.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% |
| Kate Klement | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 12.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 13.7% |
| Charlotte List | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.