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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+6.25vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.32vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.58+7.43vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+5.26vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+1.89vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.73+3.50vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42-0.35vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38-1.26vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.34+2.09vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.58+0.33vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.37-4.04vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-2.89vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.50+1.07vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.61-4.32vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.54-4.76vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.12-3.92vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.49-6.36vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.14-6.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.25Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.43University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.26Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.89Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.5University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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6.65Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.74Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.09Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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10.33George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.96University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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14.07Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.68Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.24Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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12.08University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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10.64Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.77Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.0% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.3% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 3.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 32.9% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Kate Klement | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 13.2% |
| Charlotte List | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.