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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+6.19vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+5.18vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.58+7.51vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.61+5.89vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+1.82vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.58+4.10vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+2.36vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.37-1.23vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.95vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.42-3.11vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.91-2.10vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.50+2.45vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.12-1.17vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.54-4.04vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.49-4.50vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.73-6.48vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.14-4.89vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.34-7.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.19Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.18Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.51University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.89Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.82Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.1George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.36Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.77University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.05St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.89Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.9Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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14.45Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.83University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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9.96Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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10.5Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.52University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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12.11Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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10.97Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 3.7% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.2% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 38.4% |
| Kate Klement | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 11.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Charlotte List | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 11.6% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.