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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+5.90vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.73+7.49vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+6.38vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.91+4.34vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+1.67vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.12+5.72vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.58+2.85vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.33-1.24vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.61+0.75vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.38-3.14vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.54-0.83vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.34-0.84vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.42-6.64vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-6.40vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.58-5.23vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.50-1.96vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.27-2.24vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.14-6.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.49University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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9.38Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.34Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.67University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.72University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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6.76Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.75Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.86Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.17Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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11.16Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.36Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.77George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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14.04Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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14.76Connecticut College1.270.0%1st Place
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11.45Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Kate Klement | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 6.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 16.3% | 25.8% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 18.2% | 35.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.