← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.88+3.17vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.97+5.23vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.64+5.56vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont2.78+4.20vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island3.02+2.18vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.11+4.56vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.07+3.71vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University3.21-1.76vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.76-1.01vs Predicted
-
10Brown University2.00+1.00vs Predicted
-
11Salve Regina University2.05-0.30vs Predicted
-
12Brown University2.07-1.29vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University2.29-3.13vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.62-5.44vs Predicted
-
15Brown University2.00-4.00vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont2.73-7.96vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-9.03vs Predicted
-
18Roger Williams University2.53-9.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.17Boston College3.880.2%1st Place
-
7.23Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
-
8.56University of Rhode Island2.640.1%1st Place
-
8.2University of Vermont2.780.0%1st Place
-
7.18University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
-
10.56Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
-
10.71Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
-
6.24Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
-
7.99Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
-
11.0Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
-
10.7Salve Regina University2.050.0%1st Place
-
10.71Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
-
9.87Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
-
8.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.620.0%1st Place
-
11.0Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
-
8.04University of Vermont2.730.1%1st Place
-
7.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
-
9.0Roger Williams University2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Cook | 20.2% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Donahue | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lyle Fielding | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 3.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| T. Max Bulger | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Byrne | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Stroebel | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mcisaac | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Paige | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.