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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.73+8.44vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.58+8.10vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42+3.64vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.12+7.56vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+1.63vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37+0.66vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.34+3.83vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.91+0.42vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.13vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.54+0.32vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.33-4.03vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.27+2.89vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.61-3.35vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-5.08vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.58-5.18vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.35-9.22vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-2.99vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.14-6.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.44University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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10.1University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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6.64Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.56University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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6.63Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.66University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.83Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.42Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.32Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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6.97Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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14.89Connecticut College1.270.0%1st Place
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9.65Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.92Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.82George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.78Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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14.01Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.49Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Streater | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 8.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.8% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 38.9% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 20.1% | 24.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.