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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.99+5.94vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+5.45vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+5.18vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.20+1.95vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.97+5.71vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36+3.21vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.50+1.61vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.50+0.53vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.23+0.76vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.23+3.70vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.41-1.77vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.20-5.76vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.77-1.56vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.51-1.71vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-6.42vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.04-5.36vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.76-9.31vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.28-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.45Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.18Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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5.95Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.71University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.61Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.53Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.76Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.7University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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9.23Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.24Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.44Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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12.29University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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8.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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10.64Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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7.69George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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15.86Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma White | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Annie Spence | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 3.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 20.8% | 17.5% |
| Camille Matile | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hana Zwick | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 5.2% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 9.4% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Grace Howie | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 3.3% |
| Riley Legault | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 15.8% | 53.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.