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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.23+8.86vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.50+6.86vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.04+7.70vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.84+3.18vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.67+2.79vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.41+3.01vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.76+0.50vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+0.55vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.20-3.23vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.20-3.90vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.99-4.21vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.50-3.09vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-3.96vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.87+0.21vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.51-2.56vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.97-5.20vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.77-5.33vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.28-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.86Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.86Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.7Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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7.18Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.79Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.01Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.5George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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5.77Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.1Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.79Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.91Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.04University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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14.21University of South Florida0.870.0%1st Place
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12.44University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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10.8University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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11.67Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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15.81Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Pleskus | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Grace Howie | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.5% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Camille Matile | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Riley Legault | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.7% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Megan Hostetter | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 22.3% | 22.8% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 7.9% |
| Annie Spence | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Hana Zwick | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 4.6% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 51.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.