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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+5.13vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.47+6.95vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.99+3.80vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+1.85vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+3.57vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.23+3.71vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.67+0.84vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76-0.55vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.51+3.50vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.84-2.48vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.50-2.26vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.87+2.77vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-3.99vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.04-3.88vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.97-4.34vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.28-0.10vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.41-7.89vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.77-6.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.95Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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6.8Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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5.85Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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9.71Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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7.84Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.45George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.5University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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7.52Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.74Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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14.77University of South Florida0.870.0%1st Place
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9.01University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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10.12Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.66University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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15.9Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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9.11Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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11.36Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 10.2% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Emma White | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Molly Pleskus | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Riley Legault | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 7.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Megan Hostetter | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 23.9% | 27.5% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Grace Howie | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Annie Spence | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 18.3% | 49.5% |
| Camille Matile | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Hana Zwick | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.