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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+5.12vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.23+7.91vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.97+7.96vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.99+2.60vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.77+6.40vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.58vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.20-1.06vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76-0.51vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36+0.15vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.84-2.54vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.47-2.13vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.51+0.76vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.87+1.30vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.04-3.86vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.50-6.48vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.41-6.96vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.67-9.02vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.28-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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6.6Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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11.4Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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8.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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5.94Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.49George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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7.46Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.87Connecticut College2.470.1%1st Place
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12.76University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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14.3University of South Florida0.870.0%1st Place
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10.14Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.52Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.04Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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7.98Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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15.79Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Annie Spence | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 2.4% |
| Emma White | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 4.9% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Riley Legault | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 17.4% | 10.0% |
| Megan Hostetter | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 22.6% | 23.5% |
| Grace Howie | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Camille Matile | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 17.3% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.