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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.97+9.80vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.51+10.75vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+5.06vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.04+6.28vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.47+3.64vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.20-0.14vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.77+4.52vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.99-1.39vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.20-3.14vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.36-0.55vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.23-1.24vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.50-3.01vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-4.53vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.41-5.29vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.87-0.54vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.84-8.72vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.76-9.26vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.28-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.8University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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12.75University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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8.06Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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10.28Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.64Connecticut College2.470.1%1st Place
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5.86Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.52Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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6.61Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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5.86Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.45University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.76Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.99Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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8.71Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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14.46University of South Florida0.870.0%1st Place
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7.28Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.74George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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15.77Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Spence | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 3.3% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 8.2% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Grace Howie | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 5.5% |
| Emma White | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.1% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Camille Matile | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Megan Hostetter | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 24.3% | 23.3% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Riley Legault | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 15.5% | 49.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.