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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.76+6.73vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+4.05vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+5.07vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.20+1.88vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.47+3.64vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.97+4.70vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.04+3.42vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.84-0.86vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.23+0.63vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-1.16vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.28+4.84vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.50-3.07vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.41-4.21vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.99-7.58vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.36-5.89vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.74-1.09vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.51-4.42vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.77-6.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.05Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.07Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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5.88Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.64Connecticut College2.470.1%1st Place
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10.7University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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10.42Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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7.14Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.63Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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15.84Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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8.93Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.79Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.42Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.11University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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14.91University of South Florida0.740.0%1st Place
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12.58University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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11.33Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Legault | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.1% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Annie Spence | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Grace Howie | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 19.2% | 48.9% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Camille Matile | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Emma White | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Rachel Yannelli | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 12.1% | 26.1% | 27.2% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 9.3% |
| Hana Zwick | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.