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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.51+11.55vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.99+4.81vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+5.17vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.97+6.56vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.23+4.58vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20-0.08vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+2.18vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+0.49vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.41-0.04vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.74+4.95vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.84-3.64vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.50-3.03vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.77-1.67vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.76-6.70vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.47-6.36vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.28-0.11vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.20-10.94vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.04-7.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.55University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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6.81Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.17Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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10.56University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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9.58Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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5.92Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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8.96Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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14.95University of South Florida0.740.0%1st Place
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7.36Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.97Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.33Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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7.3George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.64Connecticut College2.470.1%1st Place
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15.89Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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6.06Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.27Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 8.4% |
| Emma White | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Annie Spence | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Camille Matile | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Rachel Yannelli | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 12.5% | 23.9% | 29.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Hana Zwick | 3.5% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 4.1% |
| Riley Legault | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 19.0% | 47.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.