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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.50+7.78vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+4.02vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.23+6.87vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.97+6.56vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+4.08vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.77+5.49vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.99-0.34vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.20-2.22vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.84-1.85vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-1.17vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.67-2.99vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.47-2.95vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.41-4.16vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.51-1.88vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.76-7.54vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.74-1.10vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.04-6.37vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.28-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.78Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.02Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.87Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.56University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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9.08University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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11.49Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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6.66Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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5.78Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.15Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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8.01Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.05Connecticut College2.470.1%1st Place
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8.84Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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12.12University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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7.46George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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14.9University of South Florida0.740.0%1st Place
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10.63Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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15.78Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Annie Spence | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 2.6% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Hana Zwick | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 4.7% |
| Emma White | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.9% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Ragna Agerup | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Camille Matile | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 7.4% |
| Riley Legault | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Yannelli | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 24.6% | 28.0% |
| Grace Howie | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 18.8% | 48.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.