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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.37+2.17vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.32-0.48vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.52-0.86vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.53+0.01vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.68-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Bates College0.370.1%1st Place
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1.52Tufts University2.320.6%1st Place
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2.14Tufts University1.520.3%1st Place
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4.01McGill University-0.530.0%1st Place
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4.16Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Macdonald | 8.7% | 15.5% | 37.8% | 26.4% | 11.6% |
| Samuel Shea | 59.9% | 29.4% | 9.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 26.4% | 42.5% | 22.6% | 7.2% | 1.3% |
| William Gleckner | 2.9% | 6.6% | 15.9% | 36.2% | 38.4% |
| Alexie Lessing | 2.1% | 6.0% | 14.6% | 28.6% | 48.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.