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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.32+0.53vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.52+0.12vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.37+0.17vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.53+0.02vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.68-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53Tufts University2.320.6%1st Place
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2.12Tufts University1.520.3%1st Place
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3.17Bates College0.370.1%1st Place
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4.02McGill University-0.530.0%1st Place
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4.16Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Shea | 59.5% | 29.6% | 9.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 26.7% | 43.3% | 22.4% | 6.8% | 0.8% |
| Amy Macdonald | 8.8% | 15.2% | 37.5% | 27.3% | 11.2% |
| William Gleckner | 2.7% | 5.5% | 18.4% | 34.0% | 39.4% |
| Alexie Lessing | 2.3% | 6.4% | 12.7% | 30.2% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.