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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.32+0.55vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.52+0.13vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.53+0.99vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.68+0.15vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.37-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55Tufts University2.320.6%1st Place
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2.13Tufts University1.520.3%1st Place
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3.99McGill University-0.530.0%1st Place
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4.15Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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3.18Bates College0.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Shea | 59.9% | 27.5% | 10.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 25.8% | 44.4% | 21.6% | 7.8% | 0.4% |
| William Gleckner | 3.3% | 7.0% | 16.9% | 32.7% | 40.1% |
| Alexie Lessing | 2.6% | 5.2% | 14.6% | 29.5% | 48.1% |
| Amy Macdonald | 8.4% | 15.9% | 36.6% | 27.9% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.