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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.32+0.54vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.37+1.18vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.52-0.88vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.530.00vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.68-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.54Tufts University2.320.6%1st Place
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3.18Bates College0.370.1%1st Place
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2.12Tufts University1.520.3%1st Place
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4.0McGill University-0.530.0%1st Place
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4.15Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Shea | 59.9% | 28.7% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Amy Macdonald | 7.6% | 16.5% | 35.9% | 29.8% | 10.2% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 27.3% | 42.4% | 21.9% | 7.3% | 1.1% |
| William Gleckner | 2.9% | 6.3% | 18.1% | 33.4% | 39.3% |
| Alexie Lessing | 2.3% | 6.1% | 15.5% | 26.8% | 49.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.