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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.97+6.15vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.64+6.42vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.76+5.08vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.88+0.38vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.62+3.69vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+1.24vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.78+1.06vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.07+2.53vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-1.20vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.73-1.70vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.07-0.47vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.29-2.13vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.11-2.49vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.21-7.66vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.00-4.20vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.00-5.20vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.53-7.95vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.05-7.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Rhode Island2.640.1%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.38Boston College3.880.2%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.620.0%1st Place
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7.24University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.06University of Vermont2.780.1%1st Place
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10.53Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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8.3University of Vermont2.730.1%1st Place
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10.53Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.87Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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10.51Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.34Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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10.8Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
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10.8Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
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9.05Roger Williams University2.530.1%1st Place
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10.78Salve Regina University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Donahue | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lyle Fielding | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| T. Max Bulger | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cook | 17.4% | 17.8% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Stroebel | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.2% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mcisaac | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 17.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 17.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Paige | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Byrne | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.