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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.16+0.64vs Predicted
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2Amherst College0.89+0.85vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.08-0.37vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-1.36+1.42vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-0.48-0.53vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-0.32-1.76vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-3.44-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.64University of Rhode Island2.160.6%1st Place
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2.85Amherst College0.890.2%1st Place
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2.63Tufts University1.080.2%1st Place
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5.42Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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4.47University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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4.24Wesleyan University-0.320.0%1st Place
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6.75University of Connecticut-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Rush | 57.6% | 26.3% | 11.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 15.8% | 24.1% | 30.7% | 20.3% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| John Duncan | 17.0% | 33.3% | 27.4% | 15.4% | 5.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 0.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 11.5% | 20.7% | 50.2% | 10.6% |
| Martin Hooker | 4.0% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 21.1% | 33.9% | 20.6% | 2.7% |
| Henry Bushnell | 4.7% | 6.9% | 14.6% | 26.8% | 28.6% | 17.1% | 1.3% |
| Matthew McCann | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 8.9% | 85.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.