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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.16+0.62vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.08+0.63vs Predicted
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3Amherst College0.89-0.16vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University-0.32+0.31vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-0.48-0.54vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.36-0.60vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-3.44-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.62University of Rhode Island2.160.6%1st Place
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2.63Tufts University1.080.2%1st Place
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2.84Amherst College0.890.1%1st Place
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4.31Wesleyan University-0.320.0%1st Place
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4.46University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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5.4Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.75University of Connecticut-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Rush | 58.2% | 27.0% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Duncan | 18.9% | 29.0% | 30.8% | 14.1% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 14.7% | 27.3% | 29.2% | 18.8% | 8.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Henry Bushnell | 3.0% | 7.7% | 13.8% | 26.3% | 31.2% | 16.3% | 1.7% |
| Martin Hooker | 3.9% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 24.8% | 31.3% | 20.5% | 2.8% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 11.3% | 18.5% | 52.3% | 9.9% |
| Matthew McCann | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 85.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.