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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.08+1.53vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.16-0.43vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut-3.44+3.72vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-0.70vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-0.48-0.58vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-0.32-1.80vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-1.36-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Tufts University1.080.2%1st Place
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1.57University of Rhode Island2.160.6%1st Place
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6.72University of Connecticut-3.440.0%1st Place
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3.3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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4.2Wesleyan University-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.25Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Duncan | 22.1% | 32.5% | 23.2% | 15.8% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sam Rush | 58.7% | 29.3% | 9.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McCann | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 7.8% | 85.7% |
| Noah Brayer | 9.7% | 17.7% | 28.7% | 25.1% | 14.2% | 4.4% | 0.2% |
| Martin Hooker | 3.3% | 6.8% | 13.7% | 22.9% | 29.6% | 21.1% | 2.6% |
| Henry Bushnell | 4.1% | 8.8% | 17.3% | 23.0% | 27.9% | 17.2% | 1.7% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 1.7% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 19.7% | 48.2% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.