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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut-3.44+5.74vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.16-0.45vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.08-0.43vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-1.36+1.38vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University-0.32-0.80vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-2.72vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.48-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74University of Connecticut-3.440.0%1st Place
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1.55University of Rhode Island2.160.6%1st Place
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2.57Tufts University1.080.2%1st Place
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5.38Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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4.2Wesleyan University-0.320.0%1st Place
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3.28University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.1%1st Place
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4.27University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew McCann | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 8.4% | 85.7% |
| Sam Rush | 61.2% | 26.3% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Duncan | 18.9% | 34.2% | 26.0% | 14.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 1.3% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 19.0% | 50.9% | 10.7% |
| Henry Bushnell | 4.1% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 24.1% | 29.6% | 16.3% | 1.3% |
| Noah Brayer | 9.6% | 19.2% | 28.8% | 23.3% | 14.4% | 4.5% | 0.2% |
| Martin Hooker | 4.7% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 22.7% | 29.8% | 18.0% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.