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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.39+0.95vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University-0.43+2.17vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58+2.64vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut-0.34+0.14vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut0.04-1.37vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.95-3.54vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-1.99-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95University of Rhode Island1.390.4%1st Place
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4.17Fairfield University-0.430.1%1st Place
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5.64University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
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4.14University of Connecticut-0.340.1%1st Place
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3.63University of Connecticut0.040.1%1st Place
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2.46Tufts University0.950.3%1st Place
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6.02Wesleyan University-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Connelly | 44.8% | 29.7% | 14.9% | 8.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Erin Godfrey | 7.1% | 8.8% | 17.4% | 20.1% | 25.1% | 16.6% | 4.9% |
| Molly Gallagher | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 32.2% | 35.3% |
| Liam Greene | 6.5% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 20.6% | 24.2% | 16.5% | 4.9% |
| Bryan Davis | 10.2% | 15.1% | 20.8% | 23.5% | 18.7% | 9.3% | 2.4% |
| Erin Jacob | 27.5% | 30.5% | 21.1% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Jenny Chelmow | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 23.9% | 51.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.