← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Connecticut-0.34+3.03vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.39-0.02vs Predicted
-
3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58+2.65vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University0.95-1.54vs Predicted
-
5University of Connecticut0.04-1.38vs Predicted
-
6Wesleyan University-1.99+0.09vs Predicted
-
7Fairfield University-0.43-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.03University of Connecticut-0.340.1%1st Place
-
1.98University of Rhode Island1.390.4%1st Place
-
5.65University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
-
2.46Tufts University0.950.3%1st Place
-
3.62University of Connecticut0.040.1%1st Place
-
6.09Wesleyan University-1.990.0%1st Place
-
4.17Fairfield University-0.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Greene | 8.5% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 20.4% | 24.3% | 14.0% | 5.0% |
| Garrett Connelly | 43.3% | 30.3% | 15.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Molly Gallagher | 3.6% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 14.0% | 33.9% | 34.2% |
| Erin Jacob | 27.1% | 29.3% | 22.1% | 14.9% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Bryan Davis | 9.9% | 14.6% | 22.9% | 23.6% | 17.2% | 8.9% | 2.9% |
| Jenny Chelmow | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 24.6% | 53.3% |
| Erin Godfrey | 6.3% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 19.1% | 26.5% | 17.3% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.