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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University-0.43+3.26vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.39-0.01vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.22+2.33vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.95-1.51vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut0.04-1.31vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-0.34-1.83vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-1.99-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Fairfield University-0.430.1%1st Place
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1.99University of Rhode Island1.390.4%1st Place
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5.33University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.220.0%1st Place
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2.49Tufts University0.950.3%1st Place
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3.69University of Connecticut0.040.1%1st Place
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4.17University of Connecticut-0.340.1%1st Place
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6.06Wesleyan University-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Godfrey | 7.7% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 19.0% | 23.5% | 18.7% | 7.2% |
| Garrett Connelly | 42.5% | 31.3% | 15.3% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Linker | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 17.8% | 32.2% | 25.8% |
| Erin Jacob | 26.9% | 28.1% | 23.4% | 13.5% | 7.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Bryan Davis | 10.0% | 14.5% | 21.2% | 23.1% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 3.1% |
| Liam Greene | 6.6% | 10.1% | 17.1% | 19.8% | 23.8% | 17.0% | 5.6% |
| Jenny Chelmow | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 18.2% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.