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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University-0.43+3.22vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.95+0.47vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut0.04+0.65vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.39-2.00vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.22+0.40vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-0.34-1.82vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-1.99-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Fairfield University-0.430.1%1st Place
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2.47Tufts University0.950.3%1st Place
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3.65University of Connecticut0.040.1%1st Place
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2.0University of Rhode Island1.390.4%1st Place
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5.4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.220.0%1st Place
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4.18University of Connecticut-0.340.1%1st Place
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6.07Wesleyan University-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Godfrey | 8.3% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 20.6% | 22.1% | 18.4% | 7.2% |
| Erin Jacob | 26.9% | 30.7% | 22.0% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Bryan Davis | 10.5% | 14.5% | 20.6% | 23.2% | 19.3% | 8.7% | 3.2% |
| Garrett Connelly | 43.0% | 28.4% | 17.1% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Linker | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 17.0% | 33.6% | 25.9% |
| Liam Greene | 6.8% | 10.2% | 17.2% | 19.1% | 23.3% | 17.7% | 5.7% |
| Jenny Chelmow | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 19.3% | 57.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.