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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.89+2.11vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.37+3.83vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.27+1.21vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.80+1.08vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.02-0.32vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.43-3.64vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.13-2.47vs Predicted
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9Bates College0.09-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Bowdoin College1.890.2%1st Place
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5.83Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
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4.21Bowdoin College1.270.1%1st Place
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5.08Bowdoin College0.800.1%1st Place
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4.68Bowdoin College1.020.1%1st Place
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2.36Bowdoin College2.430.4%1st Place
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4.53Bowdoin College1.130.1%1st Place
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6.21Bates College0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kann | 21.2% | 22.9% | 19.9% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Amy Macdonald | 3.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 21.4% | 27.0% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 11.5% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 5.0% |
| Eric Hall | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 13.3% |
| Marie Bergsund | 8.9% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 9.5% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 35.2% | 26.9% | 17.6% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Emmett Ulian | 9.9% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 7.7% |
| Chris Dsida | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 19.6% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.